Warm for many with a change on the way
Warm and settled conditions will subside later this weekend, with thunderstorms likely for some from Sunday.
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England | Environment Agency |
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Mostly dry, warm and sunny.
Morning low cloud and fog patches will soon clear to leave a fine and warm day. Perhaps some mist lapping back onto some coastal stretches at times. Scattered afternoon showers and perhaps an isolated thunderstorm possible across Scotland.
Dry this evening, with any lingering showers across Scotland soon clearing. Overnight, it will stay dry with clear spells, though some fog patches are possible. A mild night for many.
Sunny spells across the country, though an increasing risk of heavy showers and thunderstorms in the north and west as we move through the day. Feeling very warm and humid.
Turning unsettled next week as low pressure moves in from the Atlantic. Rain and lower temperatures moving in for Monday, with further rain and heavy showers for Tuesday and Wednesday.
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Low pressure is expected to be dominant across the UK at the start of this period, bringing widely unsettled conditions. Most areas will be affected by showers, which could in a few places be heavy, slow-moving, with thunder and possibly hail, or even longer spells of rain at first. Winds will mostly be light, and temperatures around to a little above average for the time of year. Heading into next weekend and beyond confidence falls significantly, but on balance the weather is more likely to turn a little less unsettled, with a greater chance of longer drier interludes between further rain or showers. Temperatures overall most likely to be a little above average but the chances of any prolonged settled, dry or hot weather are lower than normal.
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Signals during this period are extremely weak, and for the most part indistinguishable from climatology. Similar weather conditions to those of the preceding few days are most likely to characterise this period to the end of May; a mixture of unsettled periods with rain and showers and settled interludes in-between. By early June, the chances of above and below average rainfall are evenly balanced. There is a slightly higher likelihood of above average temperatures compared with below average temperatures, such that the chance of hot spells, although still very small, is slightly higher than normal too.
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